Compute research

AI compute capacity: follow delivery and use

A contract, a powered campus and compute available to a model developer are distinct observations. Keep each source's units, date, status and relationship.

Published · Sources reviewed . Source publication dates are listed separately below.

Compare capacity on one stated basis

Epoch AI's data-center work estimates site power, compute and cost from public evidence. H100-equivalent capacity is a research measure with its own assumptions. It is not a count of identical chips and it does not establish which lab has the most capable model.

A capacity comparison must retain its power basis: IT load, facility power or power supply. Keep operating capacity separate from a planned end state. Contracted capacity is not additional operating capacity to add to a site's total, and different tranches can become usable at different times.

Evidence: Epoch AI: data on AI data centers

Identify who owns, supplies and uses the capacity

Nebius's March 2026 announcement distinguishes dedicated Meta capacity from additional capacity it intends to sell to third-party customers, with Meta buying the remainder. A relationship map should preserve that distinction instead of depicting the whole ceiling as delivered capacity or money already spent.

Keep the customer, cloud provider, facility owner, chip supplier and financier as different roles. Link a contract to a campus only when a source names that relationship. A shared company name is insufficient evidence that one deal funded one site.

Evidence: Nebius: new AI infrastructure agreement with Meta

Follow promises through dated milestones

Microsoft's October 2026 earnings call attributes lower calendar-year capex expectations to delayed third-party capacity deliveries. The disclosure illustrates why a planned spending figure and delivered infrastructure need separate records.

Track the promised delivery window, subsequent amendments and the last source that confirms an operating milestone. An announcement is evidence of an announced plan. Without a later completion source, leave the operating date unknown rather than upgrading the record because its target date passed.

Evidence: Microsoft FY27 Q1 earnings conference call

Claims and evidence limits

An announced compute contract is already operational capacity.

Depends on scope and assumptions

Announcements and completion evidence belong to separate milestones. Passing a target date does not prove delivery.

Microsoft FY27 Q1 earnings conference call

A data-center owner has exclusive use of all its compute.

Depends on scope and assumptions

Contracted customer use must be recorded separately from ownership; provider and customer disclosures determine the scope.

Nebius: new AI infrastructure agreement with Meta

The largest H100-equivalent site proves model leadership.

Not established by this evidence

The research estimate describes compute capacity. Model quality, access, utilization, training methods and evaluation are separate questions.

Epoch AI: data on AI data centers

Primary sources

Company disclosures describe what the company reported. A review date does not turn a forecast into an observation or establish a private quote's terms.

Apply the explanation

Background reading: List of AI compute deals on AI Wiki. AI Wiki is run by the same team as AI Compute Tracker.

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Delivery evidence and customer use

Selected contract tranches reviewed . An announced target stays a target until a source confirms delivery. These records do not change the campus capacity figures or form an operating-capacity total.

Operating use stated by a party

Project Rainier: operating use stated by AWS

AWS's activation announcement states that Project Rainier is fully operational and Anthropic is running workloads on it.

Provider
Amazon Web Services
Customer
Anthropic
Facility owner
Not established by this record
Delivery window
No target recorded
Operating confirmation
2025-10-29
Power basis
Not specified
Evidence and limits

An operator statement, not an independent launch test. Rainier spans multiple data centers; this statement does not assign every chip or program-wide figure to the Indiana campus or establish a power basis.

Deployment target; completion not confirmed here

Colossus 1: contracted use with a deployment window

Anthropic announced an agreement to use all compute capacity at SpaceX's Colossus 1 and described access within the month.

Provider
SpaceX
Customer
Anthropic
Facility owner
SpaceX
Delivery window
Within the month of the May 6, 2026 announcement
Operating confirmation
Not confirmed by these sources
Power basis
Not specified
Evidence and limits

The announcement establishes contracted customer use and a deployment target. This evidence record does not independently confirm the completion date or classify its quoted MW as IT load or facility power. Other contract tranches across Colossus sites remain separate.

Future delivery; completion not confirmed here

Nebius and Meta: dedicated capacity from early 2027

Nebius announced dedicated Vera Rubin capacity for Meta across multiple locations, with delivery starting early 2027.

Provider
Nebius
Customer
Meta
Facility owner
Not established by this record
Delivery window
Starting early 2027
Operating confirmation
Not confirmed by these sources
Power basis
Not specified
Evidence and limits

The locations, operating date and power basis are not established here. The separate additional-capacity arrangement is a conditional purchase of capacity left after third-party sales, not a second confirmed delivery of all capacity to Meta.

Future delivery; completion not confirmed here

Nebius and Meta: additional capacity after third-party sales

Nebius says it intends to sell the additional capacity to third-party customers, with Meta purchasing the remainder under the announced ceiling.

Provider
Nebius
Customer
Meta
Facility owner
Not established by this record
Delivery window
Across upcoming clusters during the five-year arrangement
Operating confirmation
Not confirmed by these sources
Power basis
Not specified
Evidence and limits

Do not count this as all capacity allocated to Meta or add it to a campus's operating MW. This record is a distinct tranche of the same deal and has no separate confirmed operating date.

How to compare capacity and delivery →